18:00 My 3-month-old son is now TWICE as big as when he was born. He's on track to weigh 7.5 trillion pounds age 10 4 я Leopold Aschenbrenner @leopoldasch AGI 2027 is strikingly plausible. That doesn’

18:00
My 3-month-old son is now TWICE as big as
when he was born.
He's on track to weigh 7.5 trillion pounds age
10
4
я
Leopold Aschenbrenner @leopoldasch
AGI 2027 is strikingly plausible.
That doesn’t require believing in sci-fi; it just requires believing
in straight lines on a graph.
Base Scaleup of Effective Compute
108
10
10°
10
10*
10°
102
10!
10°
Smart High Schooler
GPT-3:
10-3
Elementary Schooler
10-4
10
GPT-2:
Post
urreply
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